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Li Chaohai: The key to corn or not is the price
[China Agricultural Machinery Network Industry News] Since the corn storage was canceled, everyone’s discussion on corn has not stopped. Can corn make money? Can't corn be grown after the corn storage is cancelled? actually not.
A farmer only cares about his family's land this year without planting corn, so it is easy to blind, not to see Taishan; corn expert, Henan Agricultural University professor Li Chaohai believes that: from the overall analysis of autumn grain planting, the benefits of planting beans are not very high, and It takes time and labor to grow cotton. In this autumn crop production option, corn can still be grown.
Li Chaohai: The key to corn or not is the price
Li Chaohai believes that the key to planting or not planting corn is price.
Will the price of corn be down? There are mainly too many inventories, not just in China, but also in the world. With more corn, the storage capacity is not enough. The corn is not stored in the place, and new problems have arisen. It is not as long as corn, sesame seeds can be stored for a long time, so that the price decline is not difficult to understand.
“The national level is already thinking about ways. For example, the corn price subsidy that may be implemented in the main corn producing areas is to solve the risk of farmers planting corn.†Li Chaohai said that Henan has not yet been included in the main corn producing areas. It is actively applying to the country. If Henan becomes the main corn producing area, the benefits of planting corn in Henan farmers will be a protection.
Li Chaohai analyzed that Henan is a dominant area for corn production. The breeding level and cultivation level of Henan corn are in a leading position in the country; Henan also has climate advantages, important factors such as light, temperature and water in the corn production process, and other corn production. The districts are not comparable, so Henan corn has high protein and good quality.
China's corn is mainly produced in the northeast, northwest, and Huanghuaihai regions. The corn produced in the northeast and northwest is mainly externally adjusted, while the corn in the Huanghuaihai plain is basically consumed and transformed locally.
"The situation in Henan is roughly the same. The annual planting area of ​​corn is about 50 million mu, and the output is 20 million tons. As a large animal husbandry province, feed processing plus industrial conversion, production and sales are basically balanced. Henan corn one In the year, it can be sold to three or four million tons outside the province, and will also buy 1 million tons." Li Chaohai said.
The problem with Henan corn is the high content of aflatoxin. During the corn harvest season, Henan is still in the rainy season. After harvesting, the corn can not be dried in time. In addition to the previous pests and diseases, the corn kernels are prone to wounds. Once moldy, the aflatoxin will exceed the standard.
“The government has already begun to change this situation. For example, the province’s support for agricultural cooperatives to purchase corn dryers is particularly important. For general agricultural machinery, the financial subsidy is about 30%, and the corn dryer is purchased. Financial subsidies amount to 50%." Li Chaohai said.
From the national situation, this year's corn planting area will certainly shrink. The reliable news is that the northeast will reduce the corn planting area by 10%, the northwest by 20%, and the Huanghuaihai area by about 6%.
Although corn stocks are large, corn consumption and conversion have continued. If the national corn production area has reduced the planting area, the total output will need to be reduced. For Henan farmers, this year's autumn grain planting may still increase income. Opportunity.
Li Chaohai reminded farmers: In the future, to plant corn, we must grasp two key points. First, timely control of pests and diseases, do not let the harvested corn have too many wounds; second, timely drying and drying, and quickly reduce the moisture of the newly harvested corn to 15% or less.
From a macroscopic analysis, if Henan pigs, chickens, cattle, sheep, and machines in the factory all eat good corn produced on Henan land, this balance of production and sales will not let the price of corn go down and let corn grow. Great risk.
April 19, Gu Yu. Farming: Before and after the rain, plant melons and beans. If there is no better choice, grow corn!
(Original title: This year's corn, there should be heads)