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Has the domestic polyester industry become yellow tomorrow? The expert's answer is: Although there will be a partial surplus in the domestic polyester market, the probability of oversupply in the industry is very small. As the packaging industry will become the 'big family' of polyester consumption following the textile industry, the over-speed development of the packaging industry in recent years will provide momentum for the continued rapid development of the polyester industry.
Drink packaging is 'big cake'
China's beverage industry has developed rapidly in recent years, with an average annual growth rate of more than 20%. In 2004, China's total soft drink production reached 29,124,300 tons, a year-on-year increase of 22.7%. However, the per capita beverage consumption in China is only 8 liters, which is only 1/5 of the world average, which is 1/24 of the developed countries in Western Europe. This means that China's beverage industry still has huge room for development. Experts predict that the average annual growth rate of the beverage industry in China in the next 5 to 10 years will be above 15%.
The rapid growth of the beverage industry will inevitably drive the rapid development of the beverage packaging industry. PET packaging is widely used in beverage packaging due to its advantages of low price, good transparency and airtightness, high strength, and easy molding. At present, the world's major beverage-producing countries have used more than 60% of the PET beverages in carbonated beverages, fruit juice beverages, tea beverages, and bottled drinking water. China has also increased from 53% in 1997 to 65% in 2001. Up to 70%. In addition, PET bottles are used in China's edible oil packaging in recent years due to their advantages of being non-toxic, odorless, transparent, light weight, good fragrant, non-breakable, good oxygen barrier, and good UV shielding. The category of commodity packaging, pesticides, and washing daily chemicals packaging are widely used, with an average annual increase of more than 20%.
The greatest potential of beer packaging Beer packaging is the most promising market for PET. Compared with traditional glass bottle packaging, PET beer bottle has the advantages of light weight, easy to carry, high strength, good toughness, easy production, not easy to break, no explosion, and saving transportation costs. It is called by the domestic and foreign experts as the 21st century Excellent beer packaging materials. However, beer is easily oxidized, and therefore, the oxygen barrier property and sealing property of packaging materials are required to be high. However, its huge market potential and promising investment return expectation has enabled the world's major PET container manufacturers to invest a lot of manpower and resources in the 1990s to develop processing technologies and technologies for PET beer bottles, and to the end of the last century. At the beginning of the century, large-scale production of PET beer bottles was achieved. In 2001, the use of PET beer bottles in the United States reached 300 million, and PET bottles in European countries such as Britain and Germany accounted for 10% of total beer packaging. Last year, PET beer packaging in South Korea accounted for 40% of total beer packaging.
China's beer production has been maintained at a level of 23 million tons/year since 2000, and last year it exceeded 29.1 million tons. If you calculate by 630ml/bottle, you will need more than 46 billion beer bottles. In the future, as long as 10% use PET bottles, there will be more than 2 billion yuan in market demand. If 50% of PET bottles are used, then PET resin will be consumed annually. Will exceed 1 million tons, the market potential is very alarming.
This huge potential market has been favored by domestic PET packaging companies. After introducing, digesting, and absorbing advanced foreign injection molding equipment and technology, Zhuhai Zhongfu Co., Ltd. has been able to produce three layers of oxygen barrier structures, PET bottles with high barrier, heat resistance, pressure resistance, transparency, and in line with pasteurization process requirements. After its 1600ml family-loaded beer bottle was put on the market, it was very popular with consumers. The PET beer bottles developed by Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise have passed various tests and are recognized by famous domestic beer manufacturers. They can provide 330-640ml products.
Experts anticipate that with the conquering of technical problems and the optimization and improvement of process equipment, PET bottles will be widely used and rapidly growing in the field of beer packaging in China in the next 10 years.
Pharmacy packaging comes from the pharmaceutical packaging mainly refers to packaging medicines and medical equipment bottles, caps, boxes, films, sheets, composite paper, surgical instruments packaging bags, infusion tubes (bags), etc., a few years ago has been PP, PE, PVC Three points in the world, due to soaring prices of PP and PE in the past two years, PVC packaging volume began to increase. However, some characteristics of PVC itself determine that it is impossible to completely replace PP and PE packaging. Compared with the domestic PP, PE price high cargo tight situation, the domestic PET prices in the past two years is relatively low, adequate supply, and its packaging performance is better than PP, PE, PVC packaging is far behind, so in the pharmaceutical packaging Used in large quantities. Although PVC packaging still occupies a large proportion in the field of pharmaceutical packaging, due to the fact that European and other developed countries have forbidden the use of PVC products containing DEHA plasticizers in food and some pharmaceutical packaging applications, the use of PVC in the packaging field will decrease year by year. Instead, it must be PET packaging with high transparency, excellent moisture barrier resistance, easy coloring, non-toxicity, tasteless, good UV resistance, good oxygen barrier properties, easy recycling, etc., enabling PET packaging to come from behind.
There is little probability that polyester will have industry surplus. The packaging industry will become a new big consumer.
According to relevant statistics, at present, the cumulative capacity of domestic construction and proposed PET (polyethylene terephthalate, polyester for short) devices exceeds 6 million tons. If all are put into production, China’s polyester production in 2008 will exceed 18 million. Tons, 2010 will exceed 19 million tons. At the same time, affected by the increase in crude oil prices, the prices of its raw materials, terephthalic acid and ethylene glycol, have risen steadily, which has increased the production costs of enterprises, coupled with the continuous anti-dumping of China's polyester industry by foreign countries, which has hindered exports. Due to these reasons, domestic polyester supply surged, market competition intensified, and corporate profits declined. Some people pessimistically believe that the polyester industry is facing a crisis of excess.